Tag: Lai Ching-te


  • The Taiwan Triangle: Assumptions, Lies, and a Global Cold-Overlap

    The Taiwan Triangle: Assumptions, Lies, and a Global Cold-Overlap

    The Taiwan Triangle: Assumptions, Lie, and the High-Stakes Reality Two weeks of rapid diplomacy, verbal skirmishing, and shifting military posture have once again framed the Taiwan question as a three-way triangle: Xi Jinping’s calculus on unification, Lai Ching-te’s political signaling about independence, and the United States’ ambiguous pledge to defend Taiwan. Put plainly: if one…

  • The fragile triangle: Taiwan, the US, and a dangerous lie

    The fragile triangle: Taiwan, the US, and a dangerous lie

    Introduction: A triangle built on assumptions Recent debates about Taiwan hinge on three stark assumptions: Xi Jinping cannot absorb Taiwan, Lai Ching-te cannot declare independence, and Donald Trump will defend Taiwan if China attacks. Two of these claims appear to hold, while one is a dangerous lie that could mislead policy, risk miscalculation, and raise…