Tag: Deterrence
-
UK: Russia Far from Victory in Ukraine, OSCE Remarks Signal Confidence
UK Says Russia Is Far from Victory in Ukraine at OSCE Meeting The United Kingdom, speaking at an OSCE gathering, asserted that a Russian victory in Ukraine is not an imminent or likely outcome. In a capacity as part of the UK Delegation, Ankur Narayan, the Counsellor for Politico-Military Affairs, expressed cautious optimism about Ukraine’s…
-
Ex-Mossad Chief Warns: Disarming Hamas Is a Fantasy, Not a Realistic Goal
Introduction: A Warning from Experience In a candid Tuesday interview, Oded Ailam, the former head of Mossad’s Counterterrorism Division, warned that the idea of disarming Hamas is a fantasy that should not guide Israeli strategic planning. Drawing on decades of field experience, Ailam suggested that while diplomacy and pressure are essential, a complete, enduring seizure…
-
Horowitz: Iran’s Defenses Are Broken, Its Retaliatory Power Isn’t
Overview: A Shifting Threat Landscape Analyst comments on Iran’s defense posture are drawing renewed attention as the United States shifts military assets toward the Middle East. The deployment of an air carrier, additional bombers, and other force elements signals a show of force intended to deter escalation and reassure regional allies. In this context, the…
-
Horowitz: Iran’s Defenses Are Broken, Its Retaliatory Power Isn’t — Why US Moves Heighten the Stakes
What Horowitz’s Claim Signals Author and analyst Aaron Horowitz’s latest assessment that “Iran’s defenses are broken, its retaliatory power isn’t” cuts through a haze of headlines about rising tensions. The statement suggests a paradox: while Tehran may face vulnerabilities in its air defenses and battlefield resilience, its ability to strike back—whether with missiles, proxies, or…
-
Trump Announces Second U.S. Military Armada Aimed at Iran
Overview of the Announcement In a speech delivered in Iowa in the early hours of a Wednesday, President Donald Trump announced that an additional group of U.S. military vessels, described as a new “armada,” has been dispatched toward Iran. The president framed the move as a strategic extension of pressure on Tehran, citing prior actions…
-
US Could Impose Blockade on Iran Instead of Strikes, Expert Says
Rethinking U.S. Response: From Strikes to Blockade In a growing discussion about how the United States could respond to perceived threats from Iran, some experts argue that a naval blockade, rather than kinetic strikes, could become the primary tool. Danny Citrinowicz, a senior researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), spoke on 103FM,…
-
How a Hezbollah Invasion of Northern Israel Nearly Took Shape
Introduction: A Scenario on the Edge of Reality The idea that thousands of Hezbollah fighters could descend into northern Israel in a coordinated ground offensive has long hovered at the edge of strategic planning discussions in Israel and allied capitals. Even before the Hamas onslaught of October 7 jolted the region, military planners were analyzing…
-
How a Hezbollah Invasion of Northern Israel Almost Happened: A Near-Miss in the Region
Overview: A Near-Miss in a Volatile Border Area The prospect of a Hezbollah invasion of northern Israel was not a distant hypothetical. Even before Hamas’ surprise attacks from Gaza on October 7, authorities had warned that a coordinated ground assault by Hezbollah could be launched across the border into northern Israel. While the actual events…
-
How a Hezbollah Invasion of Northern Israel Was Nearly Set in Motion
Overview: A Near-Miss in a High-Stakes Conflict Long before any reader saw headlines about the October 7 attacks, regional analysts and the Israeli Defense Forces warned that Hezbollah could mount a large-scale ground assault into northern Israel. The scenario—thousands of fighters crossing the border in a coordinated operation—was not dismissed as science fiction. It represented…
-
Pentagon Signals More Limited US Role in Deterring North Korea
Key shift in deterrence strategy The Pentagon has signaled a more limited U.S. role in deterring North Korea, with South Korea taking the lead in containment and crisis management on the Korean Peninsula. The policy document released on Friday outlines a recalibrated posture that emphasizes alliance responsibility and regional deterrence, potentially easing some American contingent…