Tag: Cross-Strait
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The US-Taiwan Triangle: Which Assumption Is the Lie and Why It Matters
Introduction: The Triangle of Assumptions The current debate over Taiwan’s future often reduces to a simple triad of bold assertions: Xi Jinping cannot absorb Taiwan, Lai Ching-te cannot declare independence, and Donald Trump will defend Taiwan if China attacks. Analysts across the spectrum say two of these statements rest on solid ground while one rests…
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The fragile triangle: Taiwan, the US, and a dangerous lie
Introduction: A triangle built on assumptions Recent debates about Taiwan hinge on three stark assumptions: Xi Jinping cannot absorb Taiwan, Lai Ching-te cannot declare independence, and Donald Trump will defend Taiwan if China attacks. Two of these claims appear to hold, while one is a dangerous lie that could mislead policy, risk miscalculation, and raise…