Overview: US Tops Filipinos’ Security Priorities in the WPS
In a nationwide pulse of opinion, a substantial majority of Filipinos identify the United States as the most capable ally to help the Philippines counter Chinese coercion in the West Philippine Sea (WPS). The We Protect Our Seas Foundation commissioned the Pulse Asia survey, conducted from September 27 to 30, 2025, which found that 77% of respondents named the United States as the top country best positioned to safeguard Philippine maritime rights.
What the Numbers Show
The survey, which polled 1,200 adults across Metro Manila, Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao with a ±2.8% margin of error at the 95% confidence level, shows uneven regional support but a clear national consensus in favor of the U.S. The United States leads across all major island groups, with highest support in Metro Manila (82%) and Luzon (81%), followed by Visayas (77%) and Mindanao (65%).
Behind the United States, other countries are seen as potential partners, though to a lesser degree: Japan (45%), Australia (30%), Canada (29%), United Kingdom (25%), and South Korea (22%). Only 3% mentioned India, while 1% could not specify or chose “none.” Russia was explicitly named by 0.2% of respondents.
Why the U.S. Is Seen as the Preferred Ally
Experts say several factors underpin the strong preference for the United States. These include the depth of bilateral security arrangements, long-standing defense cooperation, and the perceived credibility of American maritime power in deterring aggression in the Western Pacific. The WPS issue remains highly salient for the Philippines after a landmark 2016 ruling by the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague invalidated parts of China’s South China Sea claims. Although Beijing maintains it will adhere to its own diplomatic language, observers note that Chinese actions near Philippine-claimed waters have persisted, prompting continued diplomatic protests from Manila.
Recent Tensions and Continuing Diplomacy
Recent incidents highlight the fragility of the regional status quo. A high-profile water cannoning and ramming of a Philippine government vessel by a China Coast Guard ship near Pag-asa Island underscores ongoing friction in the area. In response, Manila has escalated legal and diplomatic avenues while preserving engagement with regional and global partners. The new poll results could influence how policymakers balance deterrence with dialogue as they navigate a complex security landscape.
Implications for Philippine Security and Policy
With a clear demand from the public for strong U.S. leadership, the Philippine government may be encouraged to deepen security cooperation, expand joint exercises, and accelerate arms modernization plans tied to alliance frameworks. However, voters also appear mindful of diversifying partnerships beyond a single ally, given the geopolitical risks and the dynamic nature of the region. The survey’s breadth—touching Metro Manila to Mindanao—suggests broad citizen interest in a credible, multilateral approach to maritime security.
Look Ahead: Navigating Alliances in the WPS
As regional powers jostle for influence, public opinion in the Philippines seems poised to favor alliances that combine deterrence with practical cooperation. The We Protect Our Seas Foundation notes that the data reflects a preference for allies perceived as reliable and capable of supporting the Philippines in protecting its territorial and maritime rights. Policymakers will need to translate public sentiment into concrete, transparent security strategies that reassure citizens while adhering to international law and regional norms.
