Quedan Exits PAR, Leaving Minimal Impact
Tropical Storm Quedan (Nakri) exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 11:10 pm on Thursday, October 9, less than 11 hours after entering. By 4 am on Friday, October 10, Quedan was located about 1,355 kilometers east-northeast of extreme Northern Luzon and continuing to drift north-northwest toward Japan’s Ryukyu Islands. It maintained maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h with gusts up to 90 km/h, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
Despite its brief stay inside PAR, Quedan did not adversely affect weather or sea conditions in the country. The tropical storm marked the 17th tropical cyclone in 2025 for the Philippines and the second in October, following Typhoon Paolo (Matmo). PAGASA cautioned that the month could still bring two to four tropical cyclones as the season progresses.
New LPA Forms Outside PAR
While Quedan left PAR, a separate weather system—the low pressure area (LPA)—formed outside the Philippine boundary in the early hours of Friday. By 3 am, the LPA lay about 335 kilometers west-northwest of Pag-asa Island, Kalayaan, Palawan. PAGASA Weather Specialist Grace Castañeda explained that this LPA is moving north and is not expected to enter PAR.
Experts note that while this LPA is unlikely to develop into a tropical depression within 24 hours, its trough or extension is already influencing weather conditions. Forecasters expect scattered rain and thunderstorms to affect parts of Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Bicol, much of Mimaropa, and Central Luzon on Friday, with the potential for flash floods and landslides in vulnerable areas.
Projected Impacts and Local Weather Outlook
As the trough of the outside PAR LPA interacts with prevailing wind patterns, residents in affected regions should monitor weather advisories. The southwesterly and northeasterly windflows are forecast to generate scattered rain and thunderstorms across multiple islands, including the Visayas, Mindanao, and Palawan on Friday.
Forecasts indicate that strong to gale-force gusts could accompany these weather conditions in parts of the country listed for Friday and into Saturday. While Quedan’s exit reduces the immediate risk of direct storm impacts, PAGASA emphasizes vigilance for the new system and its potential to trigger localized flooding, especially in flood-prone communities and low-lying areas.
What This Means for Local Preparedness
Residents should stay tuned to official updates and rain weather advisories from PAGASA. Even without a direct landfall threat, the combination of an outside-PAR LPA and the season’s active tropical cyclone pattern underscores the importance of readying emergency kits, checking drainage systems, and securing outdoor belongings.
Modeled scenarios show storm tracks can shift, so families in vulnerable zones should prepare evacuation plans and identify safe shelters. Farmers and coastal communities may also need to brace for brief heavy showers and potential sea agitation as extratropical influences interact with warm tropical air.
Bottom Line
Quedan’s swift exit from PAR marks a quiet moment in the Philippines’ active 2025 cyclone season. A new LPA forming outside PAR brings a separate weather challenge with rain and thunderstorms, but it is not expected to become a tropical cyclone or threaten direct landfall. Ongoing monitoring and timely updates from PAGASA remain essential as conditions evolve.
