Categories: Finance and Policy

VB-G RAM G Act: SBI Analysis Suggests States to Net Gain Despite Funding Shift

VB-G RAM G Act: SBI Analysis Suggests States to Net Gain Despite Funding Shift

What is the VB-G RAM G Act and why it matters

The Viksit Bharat Guarantee for Rozgar and Ajeevika Mission (VB-G RAM G) Act is a legislative framework intended to enhance job creation and livelihood programs across states. By providing guarantees linked to employment and rural employment schemes, the act aims to shore up public finances while expanding social protection. As policymakers debate its design and implementation, financial institutions, including the State Bank of India (SBI), have begun modeling its potential fiscal impact on state governments.

SBI’s projection: states as net gainers overall

According to SBI’s recent appraisal, most states are projected to remain net gainers under the VB-G RAM G framework, even as the government shifts some funding responsibilities. The bank’s analysis estimates a combined net gain of nearly Rs 17,000 crore for state treasuries. This figure reflects anticipated savings or redirected funds from reduced leakage, enhanced efficiencies, and the preventive economics embedded in guarantee-based programs.

Where the gains come from

The SBI assessment factors in several revenue and expenditure levers. First, the guarantee mechanism is expected to curtail extreme fluctuations in state-funded employment schemes by providing predictable, performance-linked funding. This predictability can lower the cost of capital for states and reduce the risk premium on debt issuance. Second, better targeting of employment programs through standardized criteria could improve job placement outcomes, lowering the adverse social costs of unemployment and underemployment.

Third, the act’s emphasis on rural skilling and employment—core components of Rozgar and Ajeevika—could translate into higher productivity and tax revenue in the long run. While upfront outlays may rise in some states, the model suggests that improved labor force participation and increased earnings will feed into higher consumption tax collections and better fiscal sustainability overall.

Why the debate persists

Despite SBI’s optimistic perspective, critics underscore uncertainties in implementation. Questions remain about the speed with which states can operationalize guarantees, monitor outcomes, and prevent misuse of funds. Administrative capacity, data reliability, and intergovernmental coordination will heavily influence whether projected gains materialize. Some states may face transitional costs as new programs scale up, potentially offsetting initial savings in the near term.

Fiscal discipline vs. expansionary risk

The VB-G RAM G Act sits at a delicate balance between fiscal discipline and expansionary policy. Proponents argue that guarantee-based funding reduces waste and creates a framework for measurable results, aligning social protection with growth objectives. Skeptics warn of potential moral hazard and the administrative burden of supervising guarantees across diverse state contexts.

<h2 What this means for state budgets and citizens

For state budgets, the SBI projection implies a net positive impact that could improve credit profiles, support capex through more predictable revenue streams, and cushion social expenditures during downturns. For citizens, more stable and better-targeted employment programs could translate into enhanced livelihood security, skill development, and eventual wage growth. Yet the ultimate effectiveness will depend on robust governance, transparent reporting, and continuous evaluation of outcomes against targets.

<h2 Looking ahead

As the VB-G RAM G Act moves through legislative and administrative channels, observers will monitor how states adapt, how funds are disbursed, and how results are measured. The SBI analysis provides a framework for understanding potential fiscal outcomes, but on-the-ground realities—such as implementation speed and data integrity—will shape actual gains. Stakeholders should prioritize capacity-building, intergovernmental coordination, and transparent dashboards to ensure the policy delivers on its promise of stronger state finances and improved livelihoods.