Categories: Policy & Economy

Allen Onyema Warns Nigerian Airlines May Collapse in Three Months If Tax Reform Is Implemented

Allen Onyema Warns Nigerian Airlines May Collapse in Three Months If Tax Reform Is Implemented

Airlines on the Brink: Onyema’s Warning About Tax Reform

Allen Onyema, the chief executive officer of Air Peace, has issued a stark warning about Nigeria’s proposed tax reforms. In a recent interview with Arise News, Onyema argued that the new tax laws could reverse the relief measures introduced by the 2020 tax regime and push Nigerian airlines toward collapse within three months. His comments add a critical voice to a broader national debate over how Nigeria should tax imports, aviation services, and investment in the sector.

Onyema’s central claim is that the revised rules reintroduce charges that had been removed or reduced under previous legislation. He pointed to burdens such as customs duties on imported aircraft and other aviation-specific taxes that, in his view, increase operating costs for airlines and threaten their financial viability. The CEO suggested that even profitable operators could struggle to stay afloat if these fiscal measures remain in place without offsetting relief or reform in other areas of the industry.

What the Tax Reform Could Mean for Nigerian Aviation

For years, Nigeria’s aviation sector has faced a challenging operating environment marked by fluctuating exchange rates, fuel costs, and regulatory hurdles. Onyema argues that if the tax reforms proceed as currently drafted, airlines could experience a rapid deterioration in cash flow. Increased import duties on aircraft—vital capital equipment for fleet renewal and expansion—could raise the upfront costs of maintaining and growing routes.

Industry observers note that the aviation business model is sensitive to cost shocks. Even modest increases in import duties, maintenance costs, or value-added taxes can translate into higher airfare, reduced flight frequencies, or delayed fleet modernizations. Onyema’s warning underscores the potential for a cascading effect: higher costs could lead to service reductions, lower domestic and international connectivity, and reduced investor confidence in Nigeria’s aviation market.

Policy Trade-offs: Growth vs. Revenue

Supporters of stronger tax collection argue that reforms are necessary to broaden Nigeria’s revenue base and fund infrastructure. Critics, however, warn that without predictable, growth-friendly tax policies, key sectors like aviation could suffer first and hardest. Onyema’s remarks reflect a broader tension between fiscal consolidation and the need to keep Nigeria attractive for airlines, spurring job creation and regional connectivity.

Experts suggest targeted exemptions or staged introductions of new duties could mitigate adverse effects. For example, phased duties on aircraft imports, exemptions for used aircraft upgrades that bring efficiency, or temporary relief during the transition period might help protect airline viability while still achieving reform goals.

What This Means for Passengers and the Media Narrative

Passengers could feel the impact through potential fare increases, fewer routes, or less frequent service if airlines cut costs to cope with higher taxes. The media narrative around tax reform and aviation is likely to focus on balancing fiscal targets with industry sustainability and consumer interests. Onyema’s interview contributes to a public dialogue that requires precise policy design and thoughtful stakeholder engagement.

Looking Ahead: Dialogue and Possible Paths Forward

As Nigeria evaluates its tax policy, aviation stakeholders are calling for inclusive consultations with airlines, regulators, and the tax authorities. Possible paths forward include targeted tax relief for strategic fleet purchases, customs-duty exemptions for critical aircraft imports, and a temporary deferment of certain charges while the sector adjusts. The ultimate objective is to preserve Nigeria’s aviation capacity, protect jobs, and ensure competitive pricing for travelers while strengthening the country’s tax revenue base.

In the meantime, Onyema’s warning serves as a reminder that policy decisions in the aviation sector have immediate, real-world consequences. The industry, regulators, and lawmakers face a shared challenge: design reforms that secure revenue without stifling growth and connectivity that Nigerians rely on every day.