Categories: Public Health / Epidemiology

Household crowding and mortality before and during the COVID-19 pandemic among adults in Limpopo, South Africa: Findings from longitudinal population surveillance

Household crowding and mortality before and during the COVID-19 pandemic among adults in Limpopo, South Africa: Findings from longitudinal population surveillance

Introduction

Household crowding has long been recognized as a determinant of health, influencing respiratory infections, chronic disease management, and overall mortality. In South Africa’s rural and peri-urban areas of Limpopo, crowded living conditions are common and can shape exposure to pathogens, access to resources, and psychosocial stress. This article summarizes findings from longitudinal population surveillance that tracked adults in these settings before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, emphasizing the role of household crowding in age-specific mortality patterns.

Background and context

Urban–rural disparities in housing conditions intersect with health outcomes in complex ways. In Limpopo, many households share limited space, leading to higher contact rates and sustained transmission potential for infectious diseases, including SARS-CoV-2. Beyond acute infection, crowding may worsen chronic disease outcomes by limiting self-care, reducing sleep quality, and increasing exposure to indoor pollutants. Understanding these dynamics helps illuminate who was most at risk and how mitigating factors may have altered mortality trajectories during the pandemic.

Methods (brief overview)

The study used longitudinal surveillance data collected from adults residing in rural and peri-urban communities in Limpopo. Household crowding was measured by occupants per room and per household, and mortality data were linked over time to assess age-specific effects. Analyses compared periods before the emergence of COVID-19 with the pandemic period, accounting for potential confounders such as age, sex, comorbidities, socioeconomic status, and access to health services.

Key findings

Age-specific mortality and crowding

Across adults aged 18 and older, higher household crowding was associated with elevated mortality risk both before and during the COVID-19 period. The effect sizes varied by age group, with older adults showing stronger associations—consistent with heightened vulnerability to infectious diseases and to chronic conditions that are sensitive to living conditions.

COVID-19 period nuances

During the COVID-19 period, crowded households displayed a greater excess risk of mortality linked to infectious disease exposure and related complications. However, the data also suggested indirect pathways: crowding correlated with interruptions in routine healthcare, delayed management of chronic illnesses, and increased psychosocial stress, all of which can contribute to higher mortality risk independent of direct infection.

Rural and peri-urban differences

While crowding was prevalent in both settings, peri-urban areas often showed sharper mortality increases during COVID-19, potentially due to higher population turnover, occupational exposures, and differential access to health facilities. These patterns underscore the heterogeneity within Limpopo and the need for context-specific responses.

Implications for policy and practice

The findings highlight household crowding as a modifiable risk factor for adult mortality in settings with limited space and resources. Public health strategies should prioritize improving living conditions, including housing expansion where feasible, ventilation improvements, and targeted infection prevention in crowded households. The pandemic also stressed the importance of maintaining essential health services for chronic diseases in crowded contexts, ensuring that fear of infection does not deter people from seeking care.

Limitations and future directions

As with observational surveillance, residual confounding cannot be entirely ruled out. The measure of crowding concentrated on quantity of space rather than quality of housing, which could influence outcomes. Future work should integrate qualitative assessments of housing quality, access to utilities, and community-level factors to better understand pathways linking crowding to mortality and to test interventions that mitigate these risks.

Conclusion

In rural and peri-urban Limpopo, household crowding was consistently associated with higher adult mortality, with amplified effects during the COVID-19 era. These results reinforce the imperative for housing-centered public health investments and resilient health systems that can deliver care to crowded households, mitigating both direct and indirect mortality risks during health shocks.