Categories: Surgery / Oncology

Preoperative Frailty as a Predictor of Postoperative Risk in Older Esophageal Cancer Patients Undergoing Esophagectomy

Preoperative Frailty as a Predictor of Postoperative Risk in Older Esophageal Cancer Patients Undergoing Esophagectomy

Introduction: Why Frailty Matters in Esophageal Cancer Surgery

As the global population ages, more older adults face esophageal cancer requiring radical surgery. Esophagectomy is a potentially curative option, but it is also associated with high perioperative risk. Traditional risk assessment often relies on age and general health status; however, frailty—a syndrome of reduced physiological reserve—has emerged as a powerful predictor of postoperative outcomes. Recent findings indicate that preoperative frailty, quantified with the 5-item Modified Frailty Index (mFI-5), can significantly forecast complications such as 30-day mortality, delirium, and pneumonia in patients aged 65 and older undergoing esophageal cancer surgery.

What is mFI-5 and How Was It Used?

The mFI-5 is a concise deficits model using five history-available factors: hypertension requiring medication, type 2 diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), congestive heart failure (CHF), and independent functional status. Each deficit scores one point, yielding a range from 0 to 5. Patients are categorized as robust (0), prefrail (1), or frail (2–5). In the analyzed cohort, 699 patients aged 65+ who underwent esophagectomy between 2014 and 2017 were evaluated. This streamlined score was integrated with age and ASA classification to assess its incremental predictive value for adverse outcomes.

Key Findings: Frailty Increases Postoperative Risk

The study demonstrated that frailty independently correlated with higher risk of:

  • 30-day mortality (frail 5.8% vs prefrail 1.6% vs robust 1.2%)
  • Postoperative delirium (frail 22.5% vs prefrail 14.7% vs robust 2.9%)
  • Pneumonia (frail 13.3% vs prefrail 9.8% vs robust 3.8%)

Multivariate analysis showed frail individuals had markedly increased odds for these outcomes: 30-day mortality (adjusted OR 14.30), delirium (aOR 6.82), and pneumonia (aOR 4.12). Importantly, combining mFI-5 with age and ASA classification yielded the strongest predictive performance across these endpoints, with AUCs of 0.84 for 30-day mortality, 0.78 for delirium, and 0.67 for pneumonia. This suggests frailty adds meaningful discrimination beyond traditional risk factors.

Clinical Implications: How to Use mFI-5 at the Bedside

Because mFI-5 relies on readily available preoperative data, it can be rapidly calculated in outpatient settings to inform shared decision-making. Key implications include:

  • <strongRisk stratification: Identify high-risk patients who may benefit from intensified perioperative care or alternative treatment approaches.
  • <strongPrehabilitation opportunities: Targeted interventions—nutrition optimization, physical conditioning, smoking cessation, and COPD management—to bolster physiological reserve before surgery.
  • <strongTailored perioperative plans: Use frailty status to guide anesthesia strategies (e.g., BIS-guided anesthesia, opioid-sparing multimodal analgesia) and postoperative monitoring for delirium and respiratory complications.

The authors also advocate integrating mFI-5 within a broader Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) framework to holistically address physical function, nutrition, cognitive health, and psychosocial factors that influence recovery.

Limitations and Future Directions

The current analysis is retrospective, and delirium assessment relied on chart reviews with DSM criteria rather than real-time CAM-based tools. Prospective, multicenter studies using CAM-ICU and standardized delirium scales are underway to validate these findings. Future work should explore how frailty-guided interventions affect long-term outcomes, quality of life, and functional status after esophagectomy.

Conclusion: A Practical Tool for Risk Stratification in Elderly Esophageal Cancer Patients

The 5-item Modified Frailty Index is a simple, rapid, and robust predictor of critical short-term outcomes in older patients undergoing radical esophagectomy for esophageal cancer. When combined with age and ASA status, mFI-5 enhances risk stratification and can guide preoperative optimization, perioperative management, and shared decision-making, ultimately improving care for the growing population of older adults facing esophageal cancer treatment.