Quedan Exits PAR with No Direct Impact on the Philippines
Tropical Storm Quedan (Nakri) has fully exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 11:10 pm on Thursday, October 9, just 10 and a half hours after entering. By early Friday, Quedan was about 1,355 kilometers east-northeast of extreme Northern Luzon, continuing to move north-northwest toward Japan’s Ryukyu Islands at roughly 20 km/h. Despite its swift departure, PAGASA confirms Quedan retains maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h with gusts up to 90 km/h.
Officials emphasize that Quedan did not affect weather or sea conditions within the country during its brief stay inside PAR. The system marked the 17th tropical cyclone of the 2025 season for the Philippines and the second in October, following Typhoon Paolo (Matmo). PAGASA also notes that two to four tropical cyclones may form during October, keeping the country vigilant for changing conditions.
New LPA Outside PAR and Its Implications
Meanwhile, a low pressure area (LPA) that formed outside PAR gave rise to some weather disturbances earlier in the day but dissipated by 8 pm Thursday. A separate LPA was detected early Friday, located about 335 kilometers west-northwest of Pag-asa Island in Palawan. Weather specialists describe this system as a developing LPA that is moving north and not expected to enter PAR. Forecasters also caution that it is unlikely to intensify into a tropical depression within 24 hours.
Even though the LPA remains outside PAR, its trough is influencing local weather. Scattered rain and thunderstorms were reported across Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Bicol, much of Mimaropa, and Central Luzon on Friday. The combination of southwesterly and northeasterly windflows may also generate gusts ranging from strong to gale-force in several areas.
Forecast and Advisory Outlook
For Friday, October 10, PAGASA highlighted potential heavy rain clusters and the possibility of flash floods or landslides in vulnerable areas due to the LPA’s trough. Towering lightning and localized downpours could disrupt travel and outdoor activities, especially in flood-prone zones. Coastal conditions remain monitored, given the lingering effects of tropical cyclones near the region and the outer bands associated with systems moving in from the Pacific Ocean.
On the broader national scale, PAGASA will continue to track any developments in the Western Pacific and update the public as new LPAs or tropical cyclones form. The agency reiterated that while Quedan has moved away, vigilance remains essential as tropical activity tends to fluctuate within October, a month historically active for the region.
What Residents Should Do
- Stay informed through PAGASA advisories and local government updates.
- Prepare an emergency kit and review family safety plans, especially for flood-prone and low-lying areas.
- Secure outdoor items and check drainage to prevent water buildup during sudden rainstorms.
- Monitor weather app alerts for any rapid changes in local conditions and travel advisories.
Conclusion
Quedan’s exit from PAR reduces immediate concerns for most parts of the Philippines. However, the newly observed LPA outside PAR serves as a reminder that tropical weather remains fluid in the region. By staying alert to weather advisories and heeding safety recommendations, communities can mitigate risk from heavy rains and potential floods as the season progresses.
